With inflation peaking to a 13- year high of 12.44 percent in an election year, the government looks set to dump the high-powered BK Chaturvedi Committee’s recommendations of a monthly increase in fuel prices till they are at par with cost.
The suggestions for raising petrol prices by Rs 2.50 a litre per month till March 2009 and diesel by Rs 0.75 till 2010 was not acceptable to even the Prime Minister’s Office and Oil Minister Murli Deora is likely to perform the ritual of giving the report a burial at a industry meeting tomorrow.
“No one can think of raising fuel prices when global rates are softening,” a top government official said.
Decline in international crude oil prices from highs of USD 147 per barrel last month to USD 113-114 per barrel currently, has led to a reduction in revenue losses on fuel sales by one-fourth to Rs 450 crore per day.
However, some suggestions such as use of smart card for sale of subsidised kerosene may get support when Deora chairs a meeting of heads of oil firms tomorrow to deliberate on the implications of the recommendations and reviews financial health of the fuel retailing firms.
Dual pricing of diesel - one for luxury diesel cars and one for trucks and tractors - may also not get support due to problems with its implementation. “Instead of charging big cars more for diesel, the Government should levy an ad valorem excise duty on such cars,” he said.
The proposal to levy a Special Oil tax on crude oil produced from fields awarded prior to 1999 is being hotly debated as some saw it as a “punitive measure” that went against the spirit of Production Sharing Contracts signed with private firms like Cairn India.
The suggestion of stripping state-run firms ONGC and OIL of any gains above USD 75 a barrel on oil they sell would yield the same amount as they have been contributing under the present system of subsidy sharing. ONGC earned USD 125.85 per barrel oil it produced in April-June but got only USD 69.14 a barrel after paying for fuel subsidies.
The move may bring companies like Cairn under the subsidy sharing scheme but the additional revenues would not be significant, the official said.
Upstream firms like ONGC bear one-third of the revenue losses that retailers IOC, BPCL and HPCL suffer on not being allowed to raise prices of petrol, diesel, domestic LPG and kerosene in line with cost.
In 2007-08, ONGC’s subsidy share was Rs 22,001 crore.
Petroleum Ministry in its preliminary report on the BK Chaturvedi Committee report to PMO has rejected calls for pricing fuel at export parity rates, saying it would result in refineries losing around Rs 27,600 crore in revenues.
Also, suggestions for reducing import duty on petrol and diesel to zero were not accepted as it would reduce duty protection to the domestic refineries vis-a-vis international refiners.
The official said tomorrow’s meeting may also dump the proposal for levying a Special Oil Tax on oil produced from fields awarded prior to the advent of New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP) in 1999. The panel had favoured stripping state-run firms of any gains above USD 75 a barrel, and taxing private companies like Cairn at 40 per cent over this benchmark rate.
Tomorrow’s meeting would also review reports of shortages on diesel in some parts of the country and the financial position of IOC, BPCL and HPCL.
Though the Chaturvedi Committee had called for implementation of its report in total and not in pieces, the government is finding it difficult to implement the report in its entirety as inflation is already at a 13-year high of 12.44 percent.
Any increase in fuel prices would further lead to a rise in inflation, which an election-bound government can ill-afford, the official said.
The three-member panel, headed by Planning Commission member B K Chaturvedi that was asked by the Prime Minister to go into the financial position of oil firms, had also proposed levying a ‘Metro Extra’ tax of Rs 2 per litre on diesel in four installments in large cities where the fuel was being used in expensive cars.
The panel sought to lower the benchmark used for domestic retail pricing by 10-15 percent by shifting away from the current principle of trade parity pricing.
Export parity rates or the price that refiners would fetch if the fuel were to be exported, would be 10-15 percent lower than the trade parity pricing followed now, thereby bringing down the projected revenue losses.
Domestic retail price is at present determined in an 80:20 mix of import-parity and export-parity prices.
The Committee, besides suggesting freeing auto fuel pricing from government control, also recommended changes in distribution of domestic LPG by restricting only six refills per connection a year.
“I am told some recommendations of the Committee can be implemented (while some others) could be difficult to implement,” Deora had said last week in the first indications that the report may not get implemented.